Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
Colorado labor force, July 2026
BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Colorado civilian labor force, seasonally adjusted, July 2026, first print
current forecast · 80% CI3.18m
3.18m3.18m3.19m
history:Jan 2026 Colorado labor force SA: 3.25mFeb 2026 Colorado labor force SA: 3.24mMar 2026 Colorado labor force SA: 3.23mApr 2026 Colorado labor force SA: 3.22mMay 2026 Colorado labor force SA revised: 3.21mJun 2026 Colorado labor force SA preliminary: 3.19m
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
thesis.analyst · 2026-07-23T02:54:19Z
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- July 23, 2026
- agent
- thesis.analyst
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- model
- gpt-5.5
- ledger fact
- bls.laus.colorado.labor_force.2026-07.first_print
Key drivers
- Colorado LAUS labor force has declined for five straight observed months
- Recent seasonally adjusted monthly declines cluster around 9.4 to 12.9 thousand
- July target is BLS LAUS Table 1 seasonally adjusted civilian labor force, not the not-seasonally-adjusted COLFN series
- June unemployment rate stayed 3.9 percent, so the latest labor-force decline did not come from a visible unemployment-rate jump
- First-print risk is dominated by state CPS sampling and LAUS model noise
Resolution
- source
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics State Employment and Unemployment, Table 1
- expected
- August 21, 2026
- rule
- Resolve to the first BLS State Employment and Unemployment Table 1 print for July 2026, Colorado row, seasonally adjusted civilian labor force, as released on August 21, 2026. Use the BLS-published persons value for the July 2026 preliminary print, convert to thousands by dividing by 1,000, and round to one decimal thousand. The Table 1 URL is mutable, so use the first July 2026 print captured or released on August 21, 2026, not later revised content at the same URL. Ignore later LAUS revisions, annual benchmark revisions, FRED mirror updates, and later archived revised tables.
- Data point
- bls.laus.colorado.labor_force.2026-07.first_print
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
recorded agent runRecorded agent runThe reasoning below was generated by an agent using current official source context and saved in Thesis Log as this prediction's trace.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
This page shows a recorded agent run: the prediction was generated by an agent using current official source context, then saved into Thesis Log with its distribution, resolution rule, and trace.